Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MATIC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.234569 0.277212 0.322706 0.374579 0.431810 0.492761 0.562318
2024-10-27 0.180399 0.238401 0.304689 0.384944 0.478384 0.582710 0.706952
2024-11-03 0.142734 0.210128 0.292257 0.397078 0.524735 0.672750 0.854908
2024-11-10 0.114276 0.187284 0.281906 0.408612 0.569083 0.761133 1.003887
2024-11-17 0.086344 0.159438 0.260640 0.402937 0.590169 0.821046 1.120131
2024-11-24 0.068378 0.141721 0.249713 0.408263 0.623775 0.896171 1.256103
2024-12-01 0.051551 0.121832 0.232511 0.402463 0.641115 0.950108 1.366192
2024-12-08 0.036645 0.101145 0.210722 0.387245 0.643569 0.983537 1.449909
2024-12-15 0.029373 0.092297 0.205861 0.395576 0.677901 1.058873 1.588365
2024-12-22 0.021196 0.078960 0.191400 0.387534 0.687796 1.100948 1.683566
2024-12-29 0.018055 0.075771 0.193929 0.405808 0.735930 1.195599 1.849513
2025-01-05 0.013581 0.067602 0.186080 0.406361 0.757385 1.253533 1.967076
2025-01-12 0.010058 0.060526 0.179493 0.408829 0.782371 1.317959 2.096193
2025-01-19 0.007984 0.056803 0.178995 0.421431 0.823091 1.405343 2.258013
2025-01-26 0.006370 0.053742 0.179355 0.435324 0.866016 1.496527 2.426307
2025-02-02 0.004996 0.050707 0.179264 0.448212 0.907554 1.586353 2.593954
2025-02-09 0.003183 0.043967 0.169521 0.442541 0.918952 1.632408 2.701286
2025-02-16 0.002213 0.040249 0.166221 0.448442 0.948934 1.705896 2.847692
2025-02-23 0.001249 0.034712 0.157170 0.442398 0.958738 1.749423 2.952227
2025-03-02 0.000516 0.028184 0.143733 0.426251 0.950593 1.765489 3.017553
2025-03-09 0.000302 0.026217 0.142759 0.435187 0.985018 1.846043 3.175723
2025-03-16 0.000091 0.021998 0.133828 0.426638 0.988783 1.879758 3.266738
2025-03-23 0.000058 0.021836 0.137916 0.446147 1.041906 1.989809 3.469173